20030502: Med Rg Climate outlooks-ADMIN NOTICE NOUS41 KWBC (fwd)



991
NOUS41 KWBC 012114
PNSWSH

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...COMMENT REQUEST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC
520 PM EDT THU MAY 1 2003

TO        FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...NOAA WEATHER
         WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ SUBSCRIBERS...EMERGENCY MANAGERS
         WEATHER INFORMATION NETWORK /EMWIN/ SUBSCRIBERS...
         NOAAPORT SUBSCRIBERS...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
         /NWS/ CUSTOMERS AND PARTNERS...NWS EMPLOYEES

FROM      ROBERT E. LIVEZEY
         CHIEF...CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

SUBJECT   CURRENTLY SOLICITING PUBLIC COMMENTS BY JUNE 30 2003 ON
         PROPOSED PLANS FOR MEDIUM RANGE CLIMATE OUTLOOKS AFTER
         OCTOBER 1 2003

WE ARE SOLICITING COMMENTS BY JUNE 30 2003 ON PLANS FOR SERVICE
CHANGES TO TAKE PLACE AFTER OCTOBER 1 2003 IN THE CLIMATE
PREDICTIONS CENTER/S /CPC/ NATIONAL MEDIUM RANGE CLIMATE OUTLOOKS
/SEE CONTACT INFORMATION BELOW/.  SPECIFICALLY...WE ARE PROPOSING
TO DISCONTINUE 6- TO 10-DAY OUTLOOK PRODUCTS /LISTED BELOW AT THE
END OF THIS MESSAGE/.

THESE CHANGES WOULD ELIMINATE SERVICE DUPLICATION AND POTENTIAL
INCONSISTENCIES SINCE THE 6- TO 10-DAY OUTLOOKS OVERLAP THE DAY 6
AND DAY 7 LOCAL FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES
/WFO/ AND DAY 6 AND DAY 7 NATIONAL FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER /HPC/.  CPC PRODUCES
NATIONAL WEEK TWO FORECASTS THAT WERE DESIGNED TO REPLACE THE 6-
TO 10-DAY OUTLOOKS WHEN THE WFOS AND HPC BEGAN MAKING FORECASTS
FOR DAYS 6 AND 7.

THESE CHANGES WOULD ALLOW CPC TO CONCENTRATE MORE EFFORT ON
IMPROVING THE SKILL OF THE CORRESPONDING WEEK 2 OUTLOOKS AND
FUTURE INTRASEASONAL OUTLOOK PRODUCTS.

BEFORE MAKING THESE CHANGES...WE WILL WORK WITH YOU TO ENSURE
THAT HPC/S AND THE WFO DAY 6 AND 7 FORECASTS AND CPC/S WEEK TWO
OUTLOOKS WILL MEET YOUR FORECAST NEEDS FROM DAYS 6 TO 14 THROUGH
A SMOOTH TRANSITION AND SUFFICIENT ADVANCE NOTICE.

PLEASE SEND COMMENTS BY JUNE 30 2003 ON THIS PROPOSAL BY
ACCESSING THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/

HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PREDICTIONS/610DAY/COMMENT-
FORM-610DAY.HTML

OR WRITE TO

ROBERT LEFFLER AND BARBARA MAYES
NOAA/NWS CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION W/OS4
1325 EAST-WEST HIGHWAY
SILVER SPRING MD 20910

FOUR 6- TO 10-DAY PRODUCTS BEING CONSIDERED FOR DISCONTINUANCE
SOMETIME AFTER OCTOBER 1 2003.

1.  6- TO 10-DAY TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS
/CONTIGUOUS U.S. AND ALASKA/

         TEMPERATURE                   PRECIPITATION
    WMO HEADING    AWIPS ID       WMO HEADING    AWIPS ID
    PNNT51 KWBC    RBG96T         PEIY47 KWBC    RBG96E

    HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PREDICTIONS/610DAY/
    /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/


2.  6- TO 10-DAY MEAN NORTH AMERICAN 500 MILLIBAR OUTLOOK

              HEIGHT                   HEIGHT ANOMALY
    WMO HEADING    AWIPS ID       WMO HEADING    AWIPS ID
    PHBV50 KWBC    RBG96H         PHNT50 KWNC    RBG96C

  HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PREDICTIONS/610DAY/500MB.HTML
  /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/


3.  6- TO 10-DAY EXCESSIVE HEAT OUTLOOKS.

    PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING THE FOLLOWING THRESHOLDS:

    AVERAGE DAILY
    HEAT INDEX THRESHOLD          WMO HEADING    AWIPS ID
    85F OR MORE FOR 3+ DAYS       PTAS90 KWNC    RBGHI4
    90F OR MORE FOR 2+ DAYS       PTAS95 KWNC    RBGHI5
    95F OR MORE FOR 1+ DAY/S/     PTAS00 KWNC    RBGHI6

    HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PREDICTIONS/610DAY/GIFS/
    APPT_MAPS.08.35.A.GIF
    /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/


4. 6- TO 10-DAY MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX PREDICTION

    WMO HEADING    AWIPS ID
    PTNQ98 KWNC    RBGHX6

   HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PREDICTIONS/HI_610.HTML
   /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/


THIS NOTICE AND OTHER NOTIFICATION MESSAGES ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE
AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/

              HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM

THIS PARTICULAR MESSAGE IS LISTED AT THE TOP OF THE PAGE...ABOVE
THE SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE AND TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION NOTICE
BOX.

$$


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